02/02/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Yeni Ufukspor vs Vefa Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No Pick
56%
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
40%
4-5
16%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
38%
Home Win
30%
26%
Draw
29%
36%
Away Win
41%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Yeni Ufukspor v Vefa — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Yeni Ufukspor
The Market 34%
Head to Head
AWAY
Vefa
The Market 45%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
46%
Ball Possession
54%
11
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
4
330 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
354 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Yeni Ufukspor vs Vefa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Vefa got the better of Yeni Ufukspor 3-1 away from home.
Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Vefa found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Yeni Ufukspor vs Vefa?
Yeni Ufukspor 1-3 Vefa in the Turkey - Regional Amateur League on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Yeni Ufukspor vs Vefa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Yeni Ufukspor win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Yeni Ufukspor 38%, draw 26%, Vefa 36%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
✗ Match Result (Yeni Ufukspor)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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BAL
More Turkey - Regional Amateur League
2 Feb 2024