Charleroi (K) 3-2 Mechelen (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Women's Super League, 2 Feb 2024

Charleroi (K)
3-2
Mechelen (K)
📅02/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Belgium - Women's Super League – 2023/2024

Charleroi (K) vs Mechelen (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
Over
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No Pick
52%
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
38%
4-5
21%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
13%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 52% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.5pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.6pp
30%
Away Win
19%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Charleroi (K) v Mechelen (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charleroi (K) The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mechelen (K) The Market 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Charleroi (K) vs Mechelen (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charleroi (K) squeezed past Mechelen (K) 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Charleroi (K) as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Charleroi (K) vs Mechelen (K)?

Charleroi (K) 3-2 Mechelen (K) in the Belgium - Women's Super League on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charleroi (K) vs Mechelen (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charleroi (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Charleroi (K) 49%, draw 22%, Mechelen (K) 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charleroi (K)) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Charleroi (K)) ✗ BTTS No
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