Atletico Goianiense 2-1 Anapolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Goiano 1, 2 Feb 2024

📅02/02/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
55%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
Over
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
39%
4-5
25%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Atletico Goianiense win — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
55%
Home Win
58%
-2.4pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.2pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Goianiense The Market 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Anapolis The Market 22%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.62/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.59
-1% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +112% / -6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
390 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Goianiense
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Anapolis
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2021 Anapolis Anapolis 0-3 HT 0-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BRGO1
07.03.2021 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 2-0 HT 2-0 Anapolis Anapolis BRGO1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Goianiense
2-1
AWAY Anapolis
55% Ball Possession 45%
21 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Goianiense vs Anapolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Goianiense squeezed past Anapolis 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico Goianiense as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Atletico Goianiense had 55% of the ball to Anapolis's 45%, shots finished 21-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Atletico Goianiense had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Atletico Goianiense and 0.00 for Anapolis.

What was the final score of Atletico Goianiense vs Anapolis?

Atletico Goianiense 2-1 Anapolis in the Brazil - Goiano 1 on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Goianiense vs Anapolis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Goianiense win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Atletico Goianiense 55%, draw 23%, Anapolis 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Goianiense), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Goianiense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →