Luverdense 1-2 Cuiaba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Matogrossense, 2 Feb 2024

📅02/02/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
35%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
No Pick
62%
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
38%
4-5
17%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
41%
Home Win
53%
-12.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.3pp
35%
Away Win
20%
+15.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luverdense The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cuiaba The Market 23%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+29% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luverdense
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Cuiaba
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.04.2023 Cuiaba Cuiaba 5-0 Luverdense Luverdense BRMAT
18.03.2023 Luverdense Luverdense 0-0 HT 0-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BRMAT
27.02.2023 Cuiaba Cuiaba 5-0 HT 2-0 Luverdense Luverdense BRMAT
30.01.2022 Luverdense Luverdense 2-1 HT 1-1 Cuiaba Cuiaba BRMAT
11.04.2021 Cuiaba Cuiaba 1-0 HT 0-0 Luverdense Luverdense BRMAT
POST-MATCH Luverdense vs Cuiaba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cuiaba nicked a narrow win over Luverdense 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Luverdense at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cuiaba led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Luverdense and 2.40 for Cuiaba.

What was the final score of Luverdense vs Cuiaba?

Luverdense 1-2 Cuiaba in the Brazil - Matogrossense on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luverdense vs Cuiaba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luverdense win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Luverdense 41%, draw 24%, Cuiaba 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Luverdense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BRMAT More Brazil - Matogrossense
2 Feb 2024
02:00 Primavera MG vs CEOV Operario Analysis →