Venezuela U23 3-1 Brezilya U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONMEBOL - Olympic Qualifiers, 2 Feb 2024

📅02/02/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
36%
3.54
Away
28%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.3pp
36%
Draw
25%
+11.6pp
28%
Away Win
45%
-17.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.9pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venezuela U23 EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Brezilya U23 EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
299 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venezuela U23
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Brezilya U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
27% Ball Possession 73%
11.10.2019 Brezilya U23 Brezilya U23 4-1 Venezuela U23 Venezuela U23 HU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Venezuela U23
3-1
AWAY Brezilya U23
1.38 xG 0.84
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
179 Passes 428
71% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Venezuela U23 vs Brezilya U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venezuela U23 beat Brezilya U23 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 36% / 28%) promised a tight game; Venezuela U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Venezuela U23 had 34% of the ball to Brezilya U23's 66%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.38 to 0.84.

What was the final score of Venezuela U23 vs Brezilya U23?

Venezuela U23 3-1 Brezilya U23 in the CONMEBOL - Olympic Qualifiers on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venezuela U23 vs Brezilya U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Venezuela U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Venezuela U23 36%, draw 36%, Brezilya U23 28%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/36/28) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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