02/02/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
US Chaouia vs JSM Tiaret Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
33%
Draw
29%
33%
Away Win
30%
56%
Under 2.5
62%
44%
Over 2.5
38%
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
54%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
US Chaouia v JSM Tiaret — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
US Chaouia
EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
JSM Tiaret
EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
11
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
4
321 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
309 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
US Chaouia vs JSM Tiaret
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
US Chaouia beat JSM Tiaret 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 33% / 33% — and on the day US Chaouia made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of US Chaouia vs JSM Tiaret?
US Chaouia 3-1 JSM Tiaret in the Algeria - National Cup on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for US Chaouia vs JSM Tiaret?
Before kick-off our model rated a US Chaouia win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split US Chaouia 34%, draw 33%, JSM Tiaret 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (US Chaouia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (US Chaouia)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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