Haka 3-1 KuPS Kuopio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 2 Feb 2024

Haka
3-1 HT 2-0
KuPS Kuopio
📅02/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Finland - League Cup – 2024

Haka vs KuPS Kuopio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.65
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
4.37
6+ Goals
9%
22.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.65 — our 33% vs market 31.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.95
1/2
8%
25.0
1/X
9%
13.7
X/1 EV+ ✗
19%
6.79
X/2
8%
4.58
X/X
10%
4.67
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
16%
2.85
2/X
9%
13.35
Value flag · X/1 at 6.79 — our 19% vs market 10.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-5.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.1pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Haka v KuPS Kuopio — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haka EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 40%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.67/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.51
+46% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.5

Haka vs KuPS Kuopio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haka
1W-3D-2L
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.72 xG 1.40
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
242 Passes 585
74% Pass Accuracy 90%
8 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.08.2023 Haka Haka 2-2 HT 2-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
03.06.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 3-0 HT 2-0 Haka Haka FİN
18.02.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-0 HT 0-0 Haka Haka FLK
05.10.2022 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 0-0 HT 0-0 Haka Haka FİN
31.07.2022 Haka Haka 2-1 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
29.06.2022 Haka Haka 2-2 HT 1-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİK

Haka 3-1 KuPS Kuopio — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haka
3-1
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 9
1 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Haka vs KuPS Kuopio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haka beat KuPS Kuopio 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Haka found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Haka had 40% of the ball to KuPS Kuopio's 60%, shots finished 6-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Haka and 1.50 for KuPS Kuopio.

What was the final score of Haka vs KuPS Kuopio?

Haka 3-1 KuPS Kuopio in the Finland - League Cup on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haka vs KuPS Kuopio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Haka win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Haka 40%, draw 28%, KuPS Kuopio 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Haka) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Haka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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