RC Strasbourg 1-2 PSG — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 2 Feb 2024

RC Strasbourg
1-2 HT 0-1
PSG
📅02/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

RC Strasbourg vs PSG Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.65
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
48%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
2.92
6+ Goals
11%
8.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
8.08
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
20.65
1/X
7%
16.4
X/1
8%
11.0
X/2
12%
3.83
X/X
12%
6.21
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
25%
1.92
2/X
7%
15.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.65 — our 11% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
19%
+7.3pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.8pp
48%
Away Win
59%
-11.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.1pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

RC Strasbourg v PSG — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RC Strasbourg EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY PSG EU Bookmakers 62%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +1%
1.03/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/1.21
+22% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +7%
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
286 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 474 · 84%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.8
18.1 Crosses 13.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

RC Strasbourg vs PSG Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RC Strasbourg
0W-2D-4L
AWAY PSG
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.04 xG 2.09
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
288 Passes 650
83% Pass Accuracy 91%
17 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.10.2023 PSG PSG 3-0 HT 2-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
27.05.2023 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 1-1 HT 0-0 PSG PSG FR1
28.12.2022 PSG PSG 2-1 HT 1-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
29.04.2022 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 3-3 HT 1-1 PSG PSG FR1
14.08.2021 PSG PSG 4-2 HT 3-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
10.04.2021 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 1-4 HT 0-3 PSG PSG FR1

RC Strasbourg 1-2 PSG — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RC Strasbourg
1-2
AWAY PSG
2.79 xG 2.02
37% Ball Possession 63%
20 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
274 Passes 508
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
32 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH RC Strasbourg vs PSG
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSG squeezed past RC Strasbourg 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had PSG as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, RC Strasbourg had 37% of the ball to PSG's 63%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 2.79 to 2.02 — the balance of chances actually favoured RC Strasbourg.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSG led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for RC Strasbourg and 2.83 for PSG.

What was the final score of RC Strasbourg vs PSG?

RC Strasbourg 1-2 PSG in the France - Ligue 1 on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RC Strasbourg vs PSG?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split RC Strasbourg 26%, draw 26%, PSG 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSG), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSG) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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