Odisha FC 2-1 Kerala Blasters — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 2 Feb 2024

Odisha FC
2-1 HT 0-1
Kerala Blasters
📅02/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
India - Super League – 2023/2024

Odisha FC vs Kerala Blasters Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
25%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.42
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.44
6+ Goals
12%
13.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 31% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.6pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.3pp
25%
Away Win
29%
-3.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.0pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Odisha FC v Kerala Blasters — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Odisha FC EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Kerala Blasters EU Bookmakers 32%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.15/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.49
+29% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
13.2 Crosses 15.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7

Odisha FC vs Kerala Blasters Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Odisha FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Kerala Blasters
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.27 xG 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
240 Passes 290
69% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.10.2023 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 2-1 HT 0-1 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
26.12.2022 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 1-0 HT 0-0 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
23.10.2022 Odisha FC Odisha FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
12.01.2022 Odisha FC Odisha FC 0-2 HT 0-2 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
05.12.2021 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 2-1 HT 0-0 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
11.02.2021 Odisha FC Odisha FC 2-2 HT 1-0 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL

Odisha FC 2-1 Kerala Blasters — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Odisha FC
2-1
AWAY Kerala Blasters
0.96 xG 1.26
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
437 Passes 244
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Odisha FC vs Kerala Blasters
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Odisha FC nicked a narrow win over Kerala Blasters 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Odisha FC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Odisha FC had 61% of the ball to Kerala Blasters's 39%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.96 to 1.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kerala Blasters led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Odisha FC and 1.67 for Kerala Blasters.

What was the final score of Odisha FC vs Kerala Blasters?

Odisha FC 2-1 Kerala Blasters in the India - Super League on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Odisha FC vs Kerala Blasters?

Before kick-off our model rated a Odisha FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Odisha FC 43%, draw 32%, Kerala Blasters 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Odisha FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Odisha FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →