Grazer AK 2-1 Kapfenberger SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 2 Feb 2024

📅02/02/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.49
No
49%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.28
2-3 Goals
30%
1.97
4-5 Goals
30%
2.68
6+ Goals
14%
6.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
-0.4pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
63%
-12.0pp
49%
BTTS No
37%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grazer AK EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kapfenberger SV EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
339 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grazer AK
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Kapfenberger SV
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.11.2023 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 2-3 HT 1-1 Grazer AK Grazer AK AU2
12.11.2022 Grazer AK Grazer AK 3-1 HT 2-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
04.09.2022 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 1-5 HT 1-2 Grazer AK Grazer AK AU2
11.03.2022 Grazer AK Grazer AK 0-0 HT 0-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
22.08.2021 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 1-2 HT 1-2 Grazer AK Grazer AK AU2
23.05.2021 Grazer AK Grazer AK 1-0 HT 0-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grazer AK
2-1
AWAY Kapfenberger SV
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Grazer AK vs Kapfenberger SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grazer AK nicked a narrow win over Kapfenberger SV 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Grazer AK as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Grazer AK had 60% of the ball to Kapfenberger SV's 40%, shots finished 18-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grazer AK had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Grazer AK and 0.83 for Kapfenberger SV.

What was the final score of Grazer AK vs Kapfenberger SV?

Grazer AK 2-1 Kapfenberger SV in the Friendlies on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grazer AK vs Kapfenberger SV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grazer AK win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Grazer AK 53%, draw 23%, Kapfenberger SV 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Grazer AK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Grazer AK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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