Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-0 NK Varazdin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 2 Feb 2024

📅02/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.56
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.33
6+ Goals
12%
12.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
14%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-6.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY NK Varazdin EU Bookmakers 25%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +8%
1.58/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.40
-1% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
23.5 Crosses 15.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
0W-5D-1L
AWAY NK Varazdin
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.43 xG 1.07
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
317 Passes 292
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.10.2023 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 0-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
04.08.2023 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-3 HT 0-2 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
26.05.2023 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 0-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
02.04.2023 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 HT 1-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
22.01.2023 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 0-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
11.09.2022 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-2 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
0-0
AWAY NK Varazdin
0.86 xG 0.46
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
422 Passes 252
77% Pass Accuracy 67%
24 Box Touches 10
11 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Varazdin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiva Zagreb and NK Varazdin played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Lokomotiva Zagreb at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Lokomotiva Zagreb had 59% of the ball to NK Varazdin's 41%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.86 to 0.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, NK Varazdin led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lokomotiva Zagreb and 1.00 for NK Varazdin.

What was the final score of Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Varazdin?

Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-0 NK Varazdin in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Varazdin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiva Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiva Zagreb 46%, draw 28%, NK Varazdin 26%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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