Marathon 3-0 Genesis PN — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 2 Feb 2024

📅02/02/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
4%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-6.7pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.1pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.5pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marathon EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 30%
-15% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.22/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.81
-19% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +83%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marathon
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Genesis PN
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
05.11.2023 Genesis PN 0-1 HT 0-1 Marathon Marathon HON
14.09.2023 Marathon Marathon 2-1 HT 2-0 Genesis PN HON
POST-MATCH Marathon vs Genesis PN
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marathon ran out comfortable winners over Genesis PN 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 29% — and on the day Marathon made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Marathon had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Marathon and 0.50 for Genesis PN.

What was the final score of Marathon vs Genesis PN?

Marathon 3-0 Genesis PN in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marathon vs Genesis PN?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Marathon 40%, draw 30%, Genesis PN 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marathon), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marathon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
2 Feb 2024
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