Burnley U21 2-1 Birmingham City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 2 Feb 2024

Burnley U21
2-1 HT 1-0
Birmingham City U21
📅02/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Professional Development League – 2023/2024

Burnley U21 vs Birmingham City U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
46%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.96
Over 2.5
50%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.38
No
48%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
33%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.1pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.7pp
46%
Away Win
52%
-5.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
30%
+20.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
70%
-20.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
68%
-16.4pp
48%
BTTS No
32%
+16.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Burnley U21 v Birmingham City U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burnley U21 EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Birmingham City U21 EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +94% / –
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Burnley U21 vs Birmingham City U21 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burnley U21
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Birmingham City U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
20.11.2023 Birmingham City U21 Birmingham City U21 2-2 HT 1-0 Burnley U21 Burnley U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Burnley U21 vs Birmingham City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burnley U21 squeezed past Birmingham City U21 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Birmingham City U21 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Burnley U21 vs Birmingham City U21?

Burnley U21 2-1 Birmingham City U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burnley U21 vs Birmingham City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Birmingham City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Burnley U21 28%, draw 26%, Birmingham City U21 46%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Birmingham City U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Birmingham City U21) ✓ BTTS Yes
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