Fajr Sepasi 1-0 Naft Masjed Soleyman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 2 Feb 2024

📅02/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.36
Over 2.5
31%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.4
No
58%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
1.9
2-3 Goals
42%
1.86
4-5 Goals
12%
7.12
6+ Goals
6%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.4pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.7pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.8pp
69%
Under 2.5
70%
-1.3pp
31%
Over 2.5
30%
+1.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
38%
+4.1pp
58%
BTTS No
62%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fajr Sepasi EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Masjed Soleyman EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
0.76/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.59
-34% / +83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +85% / +72%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
272 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fajr Sepasi
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Naft Masjed Soleyman
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
09.05.2022 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi 0-0 HT 0-0 Naft Masjed Soleyman Naft Masjed Soleyman IRAN
24.12.2021 Naft Masjed Soleyman Naft Masjed Soleyman 2-0 HT 2-0 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi IRAN
POST-MATCH Fajr Sepasi vs Naft Masjed Soleyman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fajr Sepasi nicked a narrow win over Naft Masjed Soleyman 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 33% / 28% — and on the day Fajr Sepasi made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Naft Masjed Soleyman led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Fajr Sepasi and 1.00 for Naft Masjed Soleyman.

What was the final score of Fajr Sepasi vs Naft Masjed Soleyman?

Fajr Sepasi 1-0 Naft Masjed Soleyman in the Iran - Azadegan League on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fajr Sepasi vs Naft Masjed Soleyman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fajr Sepasi win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fajr Sepasi 39%, draw 33%, Naft Masjed Soleyman 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fajr Sepasi), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fajr Sepasi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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