Dundalk 1-2 Drogheda United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Leinster Senior Cup, 2 Feb 2024

📅02/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
34%
2.94
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No
59%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.9pp
34%
Draw
30%
+3.7pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundalk EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundalk
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Drogheda United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.25 xG 1.48
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
298 Passes 162
70% Pass Accuracy 57%
19 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2023 Dundalk Dundalk 3-1 HT 1-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
23.06.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-2 HT 1-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
28.04.2023 Dundalk Dundalk 3-2 HT 2-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
16.03.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-1 HT 0-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
30.09.2022 Dundalk Dundalk 2-0 HT 2-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
08.07.2022 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-0 HT 1-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
POST-MATCH Dundalk vs Drogheda United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drogheda United nicked a narrow win over Dundalk 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 34% / 35%) promised a tight game; Drogheda United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundalk had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Dundalk and 0.83 for Drogheda United.

What was the final score of Dundalk vs Drogheda United?

Dundalk 1-2 Drogheda United in the Ireland - Leinster Senior Cup on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundalk vs Drogheda United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Drogheda United win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 31%, draw 34%, Drogheda United 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Drogheda United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Drogheda United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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