Deportivo Saprissa 1-0 Grecia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 2 Feb 2024

📅02/02/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.29
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
14%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.1
Over 2.5
60%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
73%
-9.9pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.5pp
14%
Away Win
10%
+4.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.1pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Grecia EU Bookmakers 12%
+3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
2.68/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/2.27
+32% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
460 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 202 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Grecia
4.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2023 Grecia Grecia 1-2 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
16.09.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 7-0 HT 2-0 Grecia Grecia KOSTA
07.05.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 5-1 HT 1-1 Grecia Grecia KOSTA
05.03.2023 Grecia Grecia 0-4 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
01.09.2022 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 4-0 HT 2-0 Grecia Grecia KOSTA
24.07.2022 Grecia Grecia 0-3 HT 0-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
1-0
AWAY Grecia
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 1
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Saprissa vs Grecia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Saprissa squeezed past Grecia 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo Saprissa as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Saprissa had 64% of the ball to Grecia's 36%, shots finished 18-1.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 4.17 goals for Deportivo Saprissa and 0.33 for Grecia.

What was the final score of Deportivo Saprissa vs Grecia?

Deportivo Saprissa 1-0 Grecia in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Saprissa vs Grecia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Saprissa 63%, draw 23%, Grecia 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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