Cusco FC 1-1 UTC Cajamarca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 2 Feb 2024

📅02/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-1.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.2pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cusco FC EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY UTC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 23%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +6%
1.40/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.48
-8% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 72%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
17.9 Crosses 18.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cusco FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.50 xG 1.20
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
294 Passes 206
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.06.2023 Cusco FC Cusco FC 2-1 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
27.03.2023 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 0-0 HT 0-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
13.08.2021 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 2-1 HT 2-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
17.02.2020 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 2-1 HT 2-1 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
08.11.2019 Cusco FC Cusco FC 0-0 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
24.05.2019 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 3-2 HT 1-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cusco FC
1-1
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
1.00 xG 0.26
69% Ball Possession 31%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
399 Passes 137
83% Pass Accuracy 66%
8 Box Touches 12
9 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cusco FC vs UTC Cajamarca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cusco FC and UTC Cajamarca shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Cusco FC at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Cusco FC had 69% of the ball to UTC Cajamarca's 31%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.00 to 0.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, UTC Cajamarca led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cusco FC and 1.33 for UTC Cajamarca.

What was the final score of Cusco FC vs UTC Cajamarca?

Cusco FC 1-1 UTC Cajamarca in the Peru - Premier League on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cusco FC vs UTC Cajamarca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cusco FC win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Cusco FC 54%, draw 24%, UTC Cajamarca 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cusco FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cusco FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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