02/02/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
1-1
AS Kigali vs Gorilla Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
Over
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No
60%
Total Goals
0-1
39%
2-3
36%
4-5
18%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
51%
Home Win
51%
29%
Draw
26%
20%
Away Win
24%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AS Kigali v Gorilla — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
AS Kigali
The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY
Gorilla
The Market 27%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
54%
Ball Possession
46%
15
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
322 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
259 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
AS Kigali vs Gorilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
AS Kigali squeezed past Gorilla 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AS Kigali as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.
What was the final score of AS Kigali vs Gorilla?
AS Kigali 1-0 Gorilla in the Ruanda - National Futbol League on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AS Kigali vs Gorilla?
Before kick-off our model rated a AS Kigali win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split AS Kigali 51%, draw 29%, Gorilla 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AS Kigali), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (AS Kigali)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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