Sakaryaspor 1-0 Bandırmaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 2 Feb 2024

📅02/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.33
Draw
37%
3.45
Away
30%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.0
Over 2.5
43%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.74
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.21
6+ Goals
9%
11.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.74 — our 29% vs market 21.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.46
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
9%
13.25
X/1
11%
5.35
X/2
9%
5.6
X/X
19%
5.06
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
15%
3.68
2/X
8%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
39%
-5.7pp
36%
Draw
25%
+11.2pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-5.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
46%
+10.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
54%
-10.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.7pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sakaryaspor EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Bandırmaspor EU Bookmakers 40%
+12% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -8%
1.40/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.59
+18% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
335 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 72%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
15.3 Crosses 18.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sakaryaspor
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Bandırmaspor
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.35 xG 1.39
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
275 Passes 261
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
17 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.09.2023 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 3-1 HT 1-1 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
17.04.2023 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 3-2 HT 2-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
20.11.2022 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 4-2 HT 2-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
23.02.2020 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor S2-K
13.10.2019 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 3-0 HT 1-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor S2-K
14.05.2018 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 0-2 HT 0-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sakaryaspor
1-0
AWAY Bandırmaspor
0.75 xG 1.52
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
317 Passes 355
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sakaryaspor vs Bandırmaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sakaryaspor squeezed past Bandırmaspor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 36% / 30% — and on the day Sakaryaspor made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Sakaryaspor had 48% of the ball to Bandırmaspor's 52%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.75 to 1.52 — the balance of chances actually favoured Bandırmaspor.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sakaryaspor and 1.83 for Bandırmaspor.

What was the final score of Sakaryaspor vs Bandırmaspor?

Sakaryaspor 1-0 Bandırmaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sakaryaspor vs Bandırmaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sakaryaspor 33%, draw 36%, Bandırmaspor 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Draw), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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