Caracas FC 2-0 Deportivo La Guaira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 2 Feb 2024

Caracas FC
2-0 HT 2-0
Deportivo La Guaira
📅02/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Venezuela - Premier League – 2024

Caracas FC vs Deportivo La Guaira Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-8.6pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.9pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.0pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Caracas FC v Deportivo La Guaira — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 25%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.84/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.09
+14% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 80%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
21.4 Crosses 18.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Caracas FC vs Deportivo La Guaira Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caracas FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.72 xG 0.81
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
352 Passes 302
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.07.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-1 HT 2-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
14.05.2023 Caracas FC Caracas FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
22.10.2022 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 1-2 HT 0-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
14.08.2022 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-0 HT 0-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
09.04.2022 Caracas FC Caracas FC 3-2 HT 2-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
20.11.2021 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-5 HT 0-4 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN

Caracas FC 2-0 Deportivo La Guaira — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caracas FC
2-0
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
2.00 xG 0.94
30% Ball Possession 70%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 5
181 Passes 494
75% Pass Accuracy 90%
14 Box Touches 19
6 Crosses 31
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Caracas FC vs Deportivo La Guaira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caracas FC got the better of Deportivo La Guaira 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Caracas FC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Caracas FC had 30% of the ball to Deportivo La Guaira's 70%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 2.00 to 0.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caracas FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Caracas FC and 1.33 for Deportivo La Guaira.

What was the final score of Caracas FC vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Caracas FC 2-0 Deportivo La Guaira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caracas FC vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caracas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Caracas FC 43%, draw 32%, Deportivo La Guaira 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caracas FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Caracas FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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