Rayo Majadahonda 2-1 Navalcarnero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.7pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.8pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.2pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Majadahonda EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Navalcarnero EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.32/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/0.91
-6% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 64%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayo Majadahonda
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Navalcarnero
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 0-0 HT 0-0 Rayo Majadahonda Rayo Majadahonda İS4
07.02.2021 Rayo Majadahonda Rayo Majadahonda 0-0 HT 0-0 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero İS3
08.11.2020 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 0-0 HT 0-0 Rayo Majadahonda Rayo Majadahonda İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Majadahonda
2-1
AWAY Navalcarnero
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rayo Majadahonda vs Navalcarnero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Majadahonda nicked a narrow win over Navalcarnero 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rayo Majadahonda as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rayo Majadahonda had 46% of the ball to Navalcarnero's 54%, shots finished 11-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Rayo Majadahonda and 0.00 for Navalcarnero.

What was the final score of Rayo Majadahonda vs Navalcarnero?

Rayo Majadahonda 2-1 Navalcarnero in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Majadahonda vs Navalcarnero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Majadahonda win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Rayo Majadahonda 41%, draw 31%, Navalcarnero 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rayo Majadahonda) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rayo Majadahonda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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