Freiburg (K) 0-3 Hoffenheim (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-4.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.6pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg (K) EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoffenheim (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
-41% / -41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.22/2.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/1.33
+35% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +76% / -5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
270 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 80%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
15.0 Crosses 18.7
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Freiburg (K)
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Hoffenheim (K)
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
2.12 xG 2.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 9
342 Passes 326
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 28
0 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2024 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) 2-3 HT 1-1 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) ALKB
22.03.2024 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) 2-4 HT 0-1 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) ALKB
04.11.2023 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) 2-3 HT 0-1 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Freiburg (K)
0-3
AWAY Hoffenheim (K)
1.39 xG 1.89
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 3
272 Passes 392
69% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Freiburg (K) vs Hoffenheim (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoffenheim (K) cruised past Freiburg (K) 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Hoffenheim (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Freiburg (K) had 45% of the ball to Hoffenheim (K)'s 55%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.39 to 1.89.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Freiburg (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Freiburg (K) and 2.67 for Hoffenheim (K).

What was the final score of Freiburg (K) vs Hoffenheim (K)?

Freiburg (K) 0-3 Hoffenheim (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg (K) vs Hoffenheim (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hoffenheim (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Freiburg (K) 36%, draw 25%, Hoffenheim (K) 39%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hoffenheim (K)), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hoffenheim (K)) ✓ Over 2.5
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