Budaiya 2-4 Muharraq — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Copa del Rey, 2 Feb 2025

Budaiya
2-4
Muharraq
📅02/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Bahrain - Copa del Rey – 2024/2025

Budaiya vs Muharraq Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.34
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
49%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.91
Over 2.5
40%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.9
No
62%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.24
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
3.29
6+ Goals
6%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 35% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
16%
+9.3pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.3pp
49%
Away Win
61%
-12.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
48%
+12.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
52%
-12.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
49%
-10.9pp
62%
BTTS No
51%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Budaiya v Muharraq — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Budaiya EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Muharraq EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Budaiya vs Muharraq Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Budaiya
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Muharraq
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.03.2023 Budaiya Budaiya 1-5 HT 1-4 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
07.12.2022 Muharraq Muharraq 4-0 HT 1-0 Budaiya Budaiya BAH
21.04.2022 Budaiya Budaiya 3-2 HT 2-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
23.12.2021 Budaiya Budaiya 1-1 HT 1-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
30.03.2021 Muharraq Muharraq 3-1 HT 0-1 Budaiya Budaiya BAHK
07.03.2021 Budaiya Budaiya 0-3 HT 0-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH

Budaiya 2-4 Muharraq — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Budaiya
2-4
AWAY Muharraq
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Budaiya vs Muharraq
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muharraq beat Budaiya 4-2 away from home. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Muharraq as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Budaiya had 51% of the ball to Muharraq's 49%, shots finished 5-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Muharraq led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Budaiya and 3.00 for Muharraq.

What was the final score of Budaiya vs Muharraq?

Budaiya 2-4 Muharraq in the Bahrain - Copa del Rey on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Budaiya vs Muharraq?

Before kick-off our model rated an Muharraq win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Budaiya 25%, draw 26%, Muharraq 49%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muharraq) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Muharraq) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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