Floriana 1-0 Zabbar St. Patrick — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.37
Draw
29%
4.34
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
68%
-16.6pp
29%
Draw
20%
+9.1pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+7.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.4pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Floriana EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
414 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Floriana
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.08.2024 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick 0-3 HT 0-3 Floriana Floriana MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Floriana
1-0
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick
46% Ball Possession 54%
4 Total Shots 2
2 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Floriana vs Zabbar St. Patrick
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Floriana nicked a narrow win over Zabbar St. Patrick 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Floriana as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Floriana had 46% of the ball to Zabbar St. Patrick's 54%, shots finished 4-2.

What was the final score of Floriana vs Zabbar St. Patrick?

Floriana 1-0 Zabbar St. Patrick in the MALTP on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Floriana vs Zabbar St. Patrick?

Before kick-off our model rated a Floriana win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Floriana 52%, draw 29%, Zabbar St. Patrick 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Floriana) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Floriana) ✗ Over 2.5
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