Comerciantes Unidos vs Deportivo Moquegua Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Comerciantes Unidos v Deportivo Moquegua — Team-Based Signals
Comerciantes Unidos 1-0 Deportivo Moquegua — Actual Match Statistics
Comerciantes Unidos edged past Deportivo Moquegua 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Comerciantes Unidos as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Comerciantes Unidos had 48% of the ball to Deportivo Moquegua's 52%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 0.49 to 0.19.
What was the final score of Comerciantes Unidos vs Deportivo Moquegua?
Comerciantes Unidos 1-0 Deportivo Moquegua in the Peru - Premier League on 02/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Comerciantes Unidos vs Deportivo Moquegua?
Before kick-off our model rated a Comerciantes Unidos win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Comerciantes Unidos 45%, draw 24%, Deportivo Moquegua 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Comerciantes Unidos) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.