Chengdu Qianbao 2-0 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.06
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
3.09
6+ Goals
9%
9.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.0
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.65
X/1
19%
3.87
X/2
9%
10.6
X/X
11%
5.87
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
21.45
2/2
7%
7.94
2/X
7%
16.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.45 — our 7% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
60%
-4.6pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.1pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 21%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.52/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.20
-18% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
384 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
22.6 Crosses 14.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
2.36 xG 0.58
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
457 Passes 277
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
32 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 3-2 HT 3-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
06.05.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 3-2 HT 2-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
2-0
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
1.06 xG 1.04
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 2
462 Passes 354
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
33 Box Touches 14
36 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chengdu Qianbao vs Qingdao Jonoon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chengdu Qianbao beat Qingdao Jonoon 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chengdu Qianbao as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chengdu Qianbao had 56% of the ball to Qingdao Jonoon's 44%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.06 to 1.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Chengdu Qianbao and 2.50 for Qingdao Jonoon.

What was the final score of Chengdu Qianbao vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Chengdu Qianbao 2-0 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chengdu Qianbao vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Chengdu Qianbao 55%, draw 24%, Qingdao Jonoon 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✗ Over 2.5
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