Al Ahli 1-2 Aqaba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Jordan - Premier League, 2 Mar 2024

Al Ahli
1-2 HT 1-1
Aqaba
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Jordan - Premier League – 2025/2026

Al Ahli vs Aqaba Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.53
Draw
37%
2.88
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-4.2pp
37%
Draw
31%
+5.5pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-1.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+1.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.6pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Ahli v Aqaba — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Aqaba EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.29/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/0.83
+9% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +43%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4

Al Ahli vs Aqaba Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Aqaba
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.08.2023 Aqaba Aqaba 2-1 Al Ahli Al Ahli ÜRD
06.01.2021 Aqaba Aqaba 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli ÜRD
30.09.2020 Al Ahli Al Ahli 0-4 HT 0-2 Aqaba Aqaba ÜRD
POST-MATCH Al Ahli vs Aqaba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aqaba squeezed past Al Ahli 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 37% / 32%) promised a tight game; Aqaba found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Aqaba led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Al Ahli and 2.33 for Aqaba.

What was the final score of Al Ahli vs Aqaba?

Al Ahli 1-2 Aqaba in the Jordan - Premier League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli vs Aqaba?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli 32%, draw 37%, Aqaba 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÜRD More Jordan - Premier League
2 Mar 2024
17:00 Moghayer Al Sarhan vs Maan Analysis →
19:30 Al Hussein vs Al Salt Analysis →