Manchester City (K) 2-1 Everton (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 2 Mar 2024

Manchester City (K)
2-1 HT 1-0
Everton (K)
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
England - Women's Premier League – 2025/2026

Manchester City (K) vs Everton (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.16
Draw
17%
7.78
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
3.17
Over 2.5
55%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
82%
-12.7pp
17%
Draw
10%
+6.5pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+6.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
28%
+16.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
72%
-16.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.0pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manchester City (K) v Everton (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester City (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Everton (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.67/0.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.31/3.53
-15% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -29%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
517 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
25.0 Crosses 17.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Manchester City (K) vs Everton (K) Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester City (K)
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Everton (K)
2.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
2.14 xG 0.87
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
450 Passes 226
81% Pass Accuracy 68%
14 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
29.09.2019 Everton (K) Everton (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
20.02.2019 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 3-1 HT 0-1 Everton (K) Everton (K) İNKPL
20.09.2018 Everton (K) Everton (K) 0-4 HT 0-1 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
20.05.2018 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 3-0 HT 1-0 Everton (K) Everton (K) İNKPL
07.10.2017 Everton (K) Everton (K) 2-3 HT 1-3 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL

Manchester City (K) 2-1 Everton (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester City (K)
2-1
AWAY Everton (K)
2.46 xG 0.84
71% Ball Possession 29%
22 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 1
618 Passes 208
89% Pass Accuracy 72%
50 Box Touches 8
32 Crosses 6
POST-MATCH Manchester City (K) vs Everton (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City (K) squeezed past Everton (K) 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Manchester City (K) as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Manchester City (K) had 71% of the ball to Everton (K)'s 29%, shots finished 22-5, expected goals 2.46 to 0.84 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Manchester City (K)'s control.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Manchester City (K) had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.80 goals for Manchester City (K) and 0.60 for Everton (K).

What was the final score of Manchester City (K) vs Everton (K)?

Manchester City (K) 2-1 Everton (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester City (K) vs Everton (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Manchester City (K) 70%, draw 17%, Everton (K) 13%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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