IFK Varnamo 0-1 Halmstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.75
No
57%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.1
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.77
6+ Goals
8%
16.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 32% vs market 26.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.5pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.8pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Varnamo EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Halmstad EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +65%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Varnamo
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Halmstad
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.54 xG 1.94
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 7
470 Passes 334
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
35 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.08.2023 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 0-0 HT 0-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
15.07.2023 Halmstad Halmstad 2-2 HT 1-2 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
06.10.2018 Halmstad Halmstad 0-3 HT 0-3 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ2
20.05.2018 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-3 HT 1-2 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ2
29.08.2016 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-1 HT 1-1 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ2
23.06.2016 Halmstad Halmstad 5-2 HT 3-1 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Varnamo
0-1
AWAY Halmstad
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH IFK Varnamo vs Halmstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Halmstad squeezed past IFK Varnamo 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Halmstad found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, IFK Varnamo had 60% of the ball to Halmstad's 40%, shots finished 15-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Halmstad led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for IFK Varnamo and 1.83 for Halmstad.

What was the final score of IFK Varnamo vs Halmstad?

IFK Varnamo 0-1 Halmstad in the Sweden - Cup on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Varnamo vs Halmstad?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Varnamo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split IFK Varnamo 38%, draw 29%, Halmstad 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (IFK Varnamo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IFK Varnamo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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