02/03/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Tuggen vs Mendrisio-Stabio Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
Over Pick
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
34%
4-5
24%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
4%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
25%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 52% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
35%
Home Win
28%
25%
Draw
28%
40%
Away Win
45%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tuggen v Mendrisio-Stabio — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Tuggen
The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY
Mendrisio-Stabio
The Market 49%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
43%
Ball Possession
57%
10
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
267 · 71%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
400 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Tuggen vs Mendrisio-Stabio Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Tuggen
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Mendrisio-Stabio
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
56%
Ball Possession
44%
18
Total Shots
7
5
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
4
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Tuggen vs Mendrisio-Stabio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Tuggen swept aside Mendrisio-Stabio 3-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Tuggen made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
What was the final score of Tuggen vs Mendrisio-Stabio?
Tuggen 3-0 Mendrisio-Stabio in the Switzerland - 1st Division Classic on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tuggen vs Mendrisio-Stabio?
Before kick-off our model rated an Mendrisio-Stabio win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tuggen 35%, draw 25%, Mendrisio-Stabio 40%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Mendrisio-Stabio), BTTS Yes went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Mendrisio-Stabio)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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İSV1C
More Switzerland - 1st Division Classic
2 Mar 2024