02/03/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-1
Basel (K) vs Aarau (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
Over
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
38%
4-5
17%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 63% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
34%
Home Win
34%
36%
Draw
28%
30%
Away Win
38%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Basel (K) v Aarau (K) — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Basel (K)
The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
Aarau (K)
The Market 42%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
50%
Ball Possession
50%
10
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
5
353 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
360 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Basel (K) vs Aarau (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Basel (K) cruised past Aarau (K) 5-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 36% / 30% — and on the day Basel (K) made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.
What was the final score of Basel (K) vs Aarau (K)?
Basel (K) 5-0 Aarau (K) in the Switzerland - Women's National Leaguei A on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Basel (K) vs Aarau (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Basel (K) 34%, draw 36%, Aarau (K) 30%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Draw)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
İSVKULA
More Switzerland - Women's National Leaguei A
2 Mar 2024