Città di Varese 1-1 Chieri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 2 Mar 2024

Città di Varese
1-1 HT 1-1
Chieri
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie D – 2023/2024

Città di Varese vs Chieri Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
32%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
38%
4-5
17%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Città di Varese v Chieri — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Città di Varese The Market 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Chieri The Market 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Città di Varese vs Chieri Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Città di Varese
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Chieri
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Chieri 2-1 HT 1-1 Città di Varese İTD
POST-MATCH Città di Varese vs Chieri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Città di Varese and Chieri shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Città di Varese at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Città di Varese vs Chieri?

Città di Varese 1-1 Chieri in the Italy - Serie D on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Città di Varese vs Chieri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Città di Varese win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Città di Varese 45%, draw 24%, Chieri 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Città di Varese), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Città di Varese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İTD More Italy - Serie D
2 Mar 2024
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