FH Hafnarfjordur 1-0 Grotta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.27
Draw
23%
5.71
Away
19%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
3.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
75%
-16.8pp
23%
Draw
15%
+8.0pp
19%
Away Win
10%
+8.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
24%
+19.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
76%
-19.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.6pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Grotta EU Bookmakers 12%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.45/2.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/2.09
-17% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +37%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
424 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Grotta
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
27.07.2020 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 2-1 HT 1-0 Grotta Grotta İZL
19.02.2020 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 1-1 HT 1-0 Grotta Grotta İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur
1-0
AWAY Grotta
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FH Hafnarfjordur vs Grotta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FH Hafnarfjordur edged past Grotta 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FH Hafnarfjordur as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FH Hafnarfjordur had 58% of the ball to Grotta's 42%, shots finished 17-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, FH Hafnarfjordur had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FH Hafnarfjordur and 1.00 for Grotta.

What was the final score of FH Hafnarfjordur vs Grotta?

FH Hafnarfjordur 1-0 Grotta in the Iceland - League Cup on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FH Hafnarfjordur vs Grotta?

Before kick-off our model rated a FH Hafnarfjordur win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split FH Hafnarfjordur 58%, draw 23%, Grotta 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FH Hafnarfjordur) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FH Hafnarfjordur) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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