Cobreloa 2-1 Cobresal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
40%
+3.2pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.9pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cobreloa EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cobresal EU Bookmakers 36%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.30/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.27
-4% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
266 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
20.0 Crosses 14.4
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cobreloa
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cobresal
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.83 xG 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
274 Passes 248
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
24.08.2023 Cobreloa Cobreloa 4-2 HT 3-1 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİLİK
21.08.2023 Cobresal Cobresal 1-3 HT 0-0 Cobreloa Cobreloa ŞİLİK
01.12.2018 Cobreloa Cobreloa 2-2 HT 0-1 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİLİB
24.11.2018 Cobresal Cobresal 2-1 HT 1-1 Cobreloa Cobreloa ŞİLİB
15.02.2015 Cobreloa Cobreloa 1-3 HT 1-2 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
31.08.2014 Cobresal Cobresal 2-1 HT 1-1 Cobreloa Cobreloa ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cobreloa
2-1
AWAY Cobresal
2.68 xG 1.57
55% Ball Possession 45%
22 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
290 Passes 227
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
33 Box Touches 28
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cobreloa vs Cobresal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cobreloa squeezed past Cobresal 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cobreloa as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Cobreloa had 55% of the ball to Cobresal's 45%, shots finished 22-17, expected goals 2.68 to 1.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cobresal led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Cobreloa and 2.00 for Cobresal.

What was the final score of Cobreloa vs Cobresal?

Cobreloa 2-1 Cobresal in the Chile - Premier League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cobreloa vs Cobresal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cobreloa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cobreloa 44%, draw 23%, Cobresal 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cobreloa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cobreloa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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