Phönix Lübeck 1-0 Spelle-Venhaus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.18
Draw
19%
7.13
Away
14%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.68
Over 2.5
64%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
28%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
80%
-13.7pp
19%
Draw
11%
+7.7pp
14%
Away Win
8%
+5.9pp
36%
Under 2.5
24%
+12.2pp
64%
Over 2.5
76%
-12.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Phönix Lübeck EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Spelle-Venhaus EU Bookmakers 11%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
2.13/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/3.80
-20% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -39%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
500 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Phönix Lübeck
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Spelle-Venhaus
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
9 Corners 2
10.09.2023 Spelle-Venhaus 0-4 HT 0-2 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Phönix Lübeck vs Spelle-Venhaus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Phönix Lübeck nicked a narrow win over Spelle-Venhaus 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Phönix Lübeck as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Phönix Lübeck vs Spelle-Venhaus?

Phönix Lübeck 1-0 Spelle-Venhaus in the Germany - Regional League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Phönix Lübeck vs Spelle-Venhaus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Phönix Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Phönix Lübeck 67%, draw 19%, Spelle-Venhaus 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Phönix Lübeck) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Phönix Lübeck) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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