02/03/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-1
2nd Score
2-2
Phönix Lübeck vs Spelle-Venhaus Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
28%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
80%
19%
Draw
11%
14%
Away Win
8%
36%
Under 2.5
24%
64%
Over 2.5
76%
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
46%
BTTS No
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Phönix Lübeck v Spelle-Venhaus — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Phönix Lübeck
EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY
Spelle-Venhaus
EU Bookmakers 11%
-9% /
-9%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-13% /
-13%
2.13/0.81
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.88/3.80
-20%
/
+8%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-6%
/
-39%
60%
Ball Possession
40%
18
Total Shots
8
7
Shots on Target
4
8
Corners
4
500 · 87%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
273 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.5
Phönix Lübeck vs Spelle-Venhaus Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Phönix Lübeck
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Spelle-Venhaus
4.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
9
Corners
2
The Meetings
10.09.2023
Spelle-Venhaus
0-4
HT 0-2
Phönix Lübeck
ALMBÖL
Phönix Lübeck
ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH
Phönix Lübeck vs Spelle-Venhaus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Phönix Lübeck nicked a narrow win over Spelle-Venhaus 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Phönix Lübeck as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Phönix Lübeck vs Spelle-Venhaus?
Phönix Lübeck 1-0 Spelle-Venhaus in the Germany - Regional League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Phönix Lübeck vs Spelle-Venhaus?
Before kick-off our model rated a Phönix Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Phönix Lübeck 67%, draw 19%, Spelle-Venhaus 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Phönix Lübeck) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Phönix Lübeck)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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ALMBÖL
More Germany - Regional League
2 Mar 2024