CA Sarmiento vs Union Santa Fe Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CA Sarmiento v Union Santa Fe — Team-Based Signals
CA Sarmiento vs Union Santa Fe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
CA Sarmiento
ARJ
0-2
HT 0-1
CA Sarmiento
ARJ
1-0
HT 0-0
CA Sarmiento
ARJ
2-1
HT 2-1
Union Santa Fe
ARJ
3-4
HT 1-1
Union Santa Fe
ARJ
0-0
HT 0-0
CA Sarmiento
ARJ
CA Sarmiento 1-2 Union Santa Fe — Actual Match Statistics
Union Santa Fe nicked a narrow win over CA Sarmiento 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was CA Sarmiento at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, CA Sarmiento had 32% of the ball to Union Santa Fe's 68%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.83 to 1.35.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Santa Fe led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for CA Sarmiento and 1.17 for Union Santa Fe.
What was the final score of CA Sarmiento vs Union Santa Fe?
CA Sarmiento 1-2 Union Santa Fe in the Argentina - Premier League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CA Sarmiento vs Union Santa Fe?
Before kick-off our model rated a CA Sarmiento win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split CA Sarmiento 43%, draw 30%, Union Santa Fe 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.