02/03/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Teuta Durres vs Erzeni Shijak Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
Over
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
48%
4-5
17%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
29%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
12%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
49%
Home Win
57%
28%
Draw
25%
23%
Away Win
18%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Teuta Durres v Erzeni Shijak — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Teuta Durres
The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY
Erzeni Shijak
The Market 21%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-35% /
-35%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+60%
/
-74%
58%
Ball Possession
42%
16
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
7
Corners
5
399 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
255 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Teuta Durres vs Erzeni Shijak
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Teuta Durres cruised past Erzeni Shijak 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Teuta Durres as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Teuta Durres vs Erzeni Shijak?
Teuta Durres 3-0 Erzeni Shijak in the Albania - Süperlig on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Teuta Durres vs Erzeni Shijak?
Before kick-off our model rated a Teuta Durres win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Teuta Durres 49%, draw 28%, Erzeni Shijak 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Teuta Durres) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Teuta Durres)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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