02/03/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
1-1
ASV 13 vs Sportunion Mauer Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
Over
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
35%
4-5
23%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
44%
Home Win
47%
27%
Draw
27%
30%
Away Win
26%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ASV 13 v Sportunion Mauer — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
ASV 13
The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY
Sportunion Mauer
The Market 29%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
14
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
384 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
300 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
ASV 13 vs Sportunion Mauer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Sportunion Mauer edged past ASV 13 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was ASV 13 at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
What was the final score of ASV 13 vs Sportunion Mauer?
ASV 13 0-1 Sportunion Mauer in the Austria - Landesliga on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ASV 13 vs Sportunion Mauer?
Before kick-off our model rated a ASV 13 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split ASV 13 44%, draw 27%, Sportunion Mauer 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (ASV 13) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (ASV 13)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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AULAN
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2 Mar 2024