Brisbane Roar (K) 2-0 Melbourne City (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 2 Mar 2024

Brisbane Roar (K)
2-0 HT 0-0
Melbourne City (K)
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2023/2024

Brisbane Roar (K) vs Melbourne City (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.53
No
39%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-3.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+1.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
61%
-0.3pp
39%
BTTS No
39%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brisbane Roar (K) v Melbourne City (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane Roar (K) EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne City (K) EU Bookmakers 43%
-51% / -51% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-31% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
282 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16.0 Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards –

Brisbane Roar (K) vs Melbourne City (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane Roar (K)
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Melbourne City (K)
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.73 xG 2.78
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
312 Passes 354
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
11 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.01.2019 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
11.02.2018 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 0-2 HT 0-0 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW
21.01.2018 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
17.12.2017 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW

Brisbane Roar (K) 2-0 Melbourne City (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brisbane Roar (K)
2-0
AWAY Melbourne City (K)
1.58 xG 1.09
34% Ball Possession 66%
17 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
164 Passes 418
67% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brisbane Roar (K) vs Melbourne City (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane Roar (K) got the better of Melbourne City (K) 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Melbourne City (K) at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brisbane Roar (K) had 34% of the ball to Melbourne City (K)'s 66%, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 1.58 to 1.09.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Brisbane Roar (K) had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Brisbane Roar (K) and 0.50 for Melbourne City (K).

What was the final score of Brisbane Roar (K) vs Melbourne City (K)?

Brisbane Roar (K) 2-0 Melbourne City (K) in the Australia - W-League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar (K) vs Melbourne City (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar (K) 32%, draw 27%, Melbourne City (K) 41%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Melbourne City (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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