Zira 1-1 Turan Tovuz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.45
Over 2.5
42%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.1pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.6pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
65%
-7.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
35%
+7.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.0pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zira EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Turan Tovuz EU Bookmakers 33%
+13% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.34/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.01
+5% / +93% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zira
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Turan Tovuz
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
20.12.2023 Zira Zira 2-1 HT 0-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERK
16.12.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
06.10.2023 Zira Zira 2-1 HT 1-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
01.05.2023 Zira Zira 1-3 HT 0-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
24.02.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 0-2 HT 0-2 Zira Zira AZERS
04.12.2022 Zira Zira 2-1 HT 0-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
POST-MATCH Zira vs Turan Tovuz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zira and Turan Tovuz shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zira had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Zira and 1.17 for Turan Tovuz.

What was the final score of Zira vs Turan Tovuz?

Zira 1-1 Turan Tovuz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zira vs Turan Tovuz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zira win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Zira 37%, draw 27%, Turan Tovuz 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Zira), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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