02/03/2024
·
23:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Catanduva vs Sertaozinho Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No
59%
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
38%
4-5
22%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
3%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Catanduva win — 61% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
61%
Home Win
69%
21%
Draw
19%
18%
Away Win
12%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Catanduva v Sertaozinho — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Catanduva
The Market 73%
Head to Head
AWAY
Sertaozinho
The Market 15%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
55%
Ball Possession
45%
15
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
3
362 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
268 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Catanduva vs Sertaozinho
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Catanduva beat Sertaozinho 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Catanduva as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.
What was the final score of Catanduva vs Sertaozinho?
Catanduva 2-0 Sertaozinho in the Brazil - Paulista A3 on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Catanduva vs Sertaozinho?
Before kick-off our model rated a Catanduva win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Catanduva 61%, draw 21%, Sertaozinho 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Catanduva), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Catanduva)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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BRPL3
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2 Mar 2024