Bumamuru 1-2 LLB Academic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Burundi - League A, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.84
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
25%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
31%
+8.8pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.1pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bumamuru EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY LLB Academic EU Bookmakers 49%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -62% / -62%
1.45/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/3.66
-15% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -55%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bumamuru
0W-1D-0L
AWAY LLB Academic
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
01.10.2023 LLB Academic LLB Academic 0-0 Bumamuru Bumamuru BUR
POST-MATCH Bumamuru vs LLB Academic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LLB Academic edged past Bumamuru 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 20% / 40% — and on the day LLB Academic made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Bumamuru vs LLB Academic?

Bumamuru 1-2 LLB Academic in the Burundi - League A on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bumamuru vs LLB Academic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bumamuru win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bumamuru 40%, draw 20%, LLB Academic 40%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (40/20/40) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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