ES Setif 1-0 MC Alger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.08
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
34%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.14
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
15%
5.93
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
29%
+5.9pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.7pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-6.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-4.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+4.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.2pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Setif EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY MC Alger EU Bookmakers 45%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -23%
0.97/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.08
-6% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -16%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
244 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 465 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Setif
1W-1D-4L
AWAY MC Alger
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
06.10.2023 MC Alger MC Alger 5-3 HT 2-2 ES Setif ES Setif CZYR
10.07.2023 ES Setif ES Setif 1-1 HT 0-1 MC Alger MC Alger CZYR
11.12.2022 MC Alger MC Alger 1-0 HT 1-0 ES Setif ES Setif CZYR
13.04.2022 ES Setif ES Setif 2-1 HT 1-0 MC Alger MC Alger CZYR
17.12.2021 MC Alger MC Alger 2-0 HT 0-0 ES Setif ES Setif CZYR
28.06.2021 MC Alger MC Alger 3-2 HT 1-2 ES Setif ES Setif CZYR
POST-MATCH ES Setif vs MC Alger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Setif edged past MC Alger 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; ES Setif found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MC Alger led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for ES Setif and 2.17 for MC Alger.

What was the final score of ES Setif vs MC Alger?

ES Setif 1-0 MC Alger in the Algeria - 1st Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Setif vs MC Alger?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Setif win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split ES Setif 35%, draw 31%, MC Alger 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Setif), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ES Setif) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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