Lille (K) 0-2 Guingamp (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
25%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.97
Over 2.5
44%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
25%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
42%
+4.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
25%
Away Win
31%
-6.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.2pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lille (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Guingamp (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.58/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/2.32
-27% / +92% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +43%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
358 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 75%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
26.0 Crosses 11.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lille (K)
0-2
AWAY Guingamp (K)
0.57 xG 1.91
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
248 Passes 170
73% Pass Accuracy 60%
24 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lille (K) vs Guingamp (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guingamp (K) got the better of Lille (K) 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Lille (K) at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lille (K) had 55% of the ball to Guingamp (K)'s 45%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 0.57 to 1.91.

What was the final score of Lille (K) vs Guingamp (K)?

Lille (K) 0-2 Guingamp (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lille (K) vs Guingamp (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lille (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lille (K) 47%, draw 29%, Guingamp (K) 25%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lille (K)), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lille (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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