02/03/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Pontarlier vs Vesoul Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
44%
4-5
16%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
3%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
46%
Home Win
51%
26%
Draw
26%
29%
Away Win
23%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pontarlier v Vesoul — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Pontarlier
The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY
Vesoul
The Market 26%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+21% /
+21%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-30%
/
+37%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
12
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
334 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
241 · 71%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Pontarlier vs Vesoul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Pontarlier ran out comfortable winners over Vesoul 3-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Pontarlier as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Pontarlier vs Vesoul?
Pontarlier 3-0 Vesoul in the France - National League 3 on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pontarlier vs Vesoul?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pontarlier win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Pontarlier 46%, draw 26%, Vesoul 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontarlier) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Pontarlier)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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