JDR Stars 2-3 Upington City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.5pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.2pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.2pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JDR Stars EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Upington City EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.29/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.21
+0% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JDR Stars
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Upington City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
09.12.2023 Upington City Upington City 3-1 HT 2-1 JDR Stars JDR Stars GAF1
POST-MATCH JDR Stars vs Upington City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Upington City squeezed past JDR Stars 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was JDR Stars at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of JDR Stars vs Upington City?

JDR Stars 2-3 Upington City in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JDR Stars vs Upington City?

Before kick-off our model rated a JDR Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split JDR Stars 41%, draw 30%, Upington City 30%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (JDR Stars) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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