Gyeongju HNP 1-0 Paju Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.52
Over 2.5
47%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
46%
+6.2pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.1pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-9.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+9.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.1pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gyeongju HNP EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Paju Citizen EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / -1%
1.37/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.91
+5% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +36%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
219 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gyeongju HNP
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Paju Citizen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
4 Corners 5
27.08.2023 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 1-1 HT 0-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
29.04.2023 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 4-0 HT 1-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
25.09.2022 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 2-1 HT 0-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
21.05.2022 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 2-1 HT 0-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
04.09.2021 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 2-1 HT 1-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
01.05.2021 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 4-2 HT 2-1 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Gyeongju HNP vs Paju Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gyeongju HNP nicked a narrow win over Paju Citizen 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gyeongju HNP as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paju Citizen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gyeongju HNP and 2.00 for Paju Citizen.

What was the final score of Gyeongju HNP vs Paju Citizen?

Gyeongju HNP 1-0 Paju Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gyeongju HNP vs Paju Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gyeongju HNP win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Gyeongju HNP 52%, draw 25%, Paju Citizen 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gyeongju HNP), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gyeongju HNP) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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