Gwangju 2-0 FC Seoul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 2 Mar 2024

Gwangju
2-0 HT 1-0
FC Seoul
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
South Kore - K League Classic – 2024

Gwangju vs FC Seoul Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.75
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.24
6+ Goals
9%
20.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.83
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
16%
5.36
X/2
17%
5.47
X/X
13%
4.07
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
10%
3.94
2/X
6%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+2.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.9pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gwangju v FC Seoul — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gwangju EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Seoul EU Bookmakers 38%
+6% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
1.69/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.25
+0% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 78%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
22.5 Crosses 16.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4

Gwangju vs FC Seoul Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gwangju
1W-1D-4L
AWAY FC Seoul
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.61 xG 0.72
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
327 Passes 427
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.09.2023 FC Seoul FC Seoul 0-1 HT 0-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
09.05.2023 FC Seoul FC Seoul 3-1 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
05.03.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
03.11.2021 Gwangju Gwangju 3-4 HT 1-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
08.08.2021 FC Seoul FC Seoul 1-0 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
19.06.2021 Gwangju Gwangju 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK

Gwangju 2-0 FC Seoul — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gwangju
2-0
AWAY FC Seoul
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
323 Passes 389
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gwangju vs FC Seoul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gwangju beat FC Seoul 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Gwangju found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gwangju had 46% of the ball to FC Seoul's 54%, shots finished 15-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Seoul led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gwangju and 1.83 for FC Seoul.

What was the final score of Gwangju vs FC Seoul?

Gwangju 2-0 FC Seoul in the South Kore - K League Classic on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gwangju vs FC Seoul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gwangju win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gwangju 40%, draw 28%, FC Seoul 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gwangju), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gwangju) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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