Cheongju FC 1-0 Jeonnam Dragons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.17
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.7
6+ Goals
7%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 33% vs market 25.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.9pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cheongju FC EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons EU Bookmakers 37%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -19%
0.96/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.47
-23% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -20%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
Crosses 17.6
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cheongju FC
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 3-0 HT 1-0 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC GKOR2
11.06.2023 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC 3-1 HT 1-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
15.04.2023 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 3-0 HT 2-0 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cheongju FC
1-0
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cheongju FC vs Jeonnam Dragons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cheongju FC squeezed past Jeonnam Dragons 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cheongju FC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Cheongju FC had 48% of the ball to Jeonnam Dragons's 52%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Jeonnam Dragons led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cheongju FC and 2.33 for Jeonnam Dragons.

What was the final score of Cheongju FC vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Cheongju FC 1-0 Jeonnam Dragons in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cheongju FC vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cheongju FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cheongju FC 41%, draw 26%, Jeonnam Dragons 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cheongju FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cheongju FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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GKOR2 More South Kore - K League Challenge
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