Auda 1-0 Super Nova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
9.57
Draw
25%
5.15
Away
47%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
29%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
8%
+19.9pp
25%
Draw
16%
+8.4pp
47%
Away Win
76%
-28.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auda EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Super Nova EU Bookmakers 80%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
229 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auda
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Super Nova
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
2.86 xG 0.43
65% Ball Possession 35%
21 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
554 Passes 198
86% Pass Accuracy 67%
41 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Auda Auda 1-0 HT 1-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET
25.06.2023 Super Nova Super Nova 0-5 HT 0-4 Auda Auda LET
02.05.2023 Super Nova Super Nova 0-2 HT 0-1 Auda Auda LET
11.03.2023 Auda Auda 2-0 HT 2-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET
18.09.2022 Auda Auda 3-0 HT 1-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET
02.07.2022 Super Nova Super Nova 1-2 HT 1-1 Auda Auda LET
POST-MATCH Auda vs Super Nova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auda nicked a narrow win over Super Nova 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Super Nova at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Auda had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Auda and 0.17 for Super Nova.

What was the final score of Auda vs Super Nova?

Auda 1-0 Super Nova in the Friendlies on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auda vs Super Nova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Super Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Auda 28%, draw 25%, Super Nova 47%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Super Nova) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Super Nova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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